Market Update: June 23, 2025 – Calm After the Storm?
Today’s markets opened surprisingly flat despite significant geopolitical news: the U.S. bombed Iran over the weekend, aiming to dismantle their nuclear capabilities. While many anticipated a volatile Monday, stocks have held steady, oil has only seen a slight uptick, and Treasury yields have actually fallen as investors seek safety.
The 10-year Treasury now sits at 4.31%, reflecting a modest "flight to safety." We continue to monitor the situation closely, as Iran’s response remains uncertain.
Looking ahead, Friday’s Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Index will be a key inflation gauge for the Federal Reserve. Should it confirm recent CPI and PPI trends, the case for lower interest rates could strengthen — perhaps even as early as July.
For now, we are maintaining our current investment allocations and will revisit our positioning after Friday’s data and our upcoming mid-year review.
Have questions or want to chat?
📞 Call John Heil at (760) 310-1029
📧 Email: john@marketcapitalmanagement.com
Stay tuned for our Half-Year Market Recap later this week!